Fairfield at Merrimack Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Merrimack by 5.3
TOTAL POINTS
141
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Fairfield
Merrimack 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
66
D
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Fairfield
Merrimack
| 214 | Overall | 136 |
| 262 | Power | 205 |
| 243 | Offensive | 301 |
| 251 | Defensive | 98 |
| 325 | SoS (Current) | 313 |
| 326 | SoS (Full Season) | 313 |
Merrimack#13664%
Fairfield#21436%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Merrimack 64%, Fairfield 36% at Merrimack.
Merrimack's win probability against Fairfield is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Merrimack's win probability against Fairfield has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Merrimack's win probability against Fairfield is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Merrimack favored
Fairfield favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Fairfield | Neutral | At Merrimack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 57% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Fairfield
Merrimack
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-13 (60.6%) |
Overall |
23-11 (67.6%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Home |
11-0 (100%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
9-8 (52.9%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-8 (55.6%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-3 (81.3%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Fairfield
Merrimack
| #168 Siena | Best Win | #168 Siena |
| #334 Canisius | Worst Loss | #334 Canisius |
| 36 pts vs #306 Manhattan | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #353 Rider |
| 29 pts vs #218 Columbia | Largest MOD | 38 pts vs #36 Auburn |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Fairfield
Merrimack
| 72.9 | Points per Game | 68.5 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 66.5 |
| 70.7 | Home PPG | 75.9 |
| 68.6 | Home PA | 66.1 |
| 76.1 | Away PPG | 66.1 |
| 76.9 | Away PA | 67.7 |
| 475-540 | Opponent Record | 515-546 |
| 247.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 228.5 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Fairfield
Merrimack
| Mar 8 | Siena (23-12) | L61-76 | Mar 10 | Siena (23-12) | L54-64 |
| Mar 6 | St Peter's (16-12) | W74-55 | Mar 8 | Marist (18-12) | W58-57 |
| Mar 5 | Manhattan (11-20) | W71-60 | Mar 6 | Sacred Heart (13-19) | W70-48 |
| Mar 1 | vs Mt St Mary's (14-17) | L47-69 | Mar 1 | at Niagara (7-22) | W73-66 |
| Feb 27 | vs Siena (23-12) | W72-58 | Feb 27 | at Canisius (9-21) | L62-67 |
| Feb 22 | at Quinnipiac (18-13) | W85-79 | Feb 22 | vs Iona (18-14) | W88-86 |
| Feb 20 | vs Sacred Heart (13-19) | W78-68 | Feb 20 | vs Siena (23-12) | W79-72 |
| Feb 15 | at St Peter's (16-12) | L74-83 | Feb 15 | at Quinnipiac (18-13) | W56-49 |
| Feb 7 | vs Marist (18-12) | W63-60 | Feb 12 | vs Marist (18-12) | W81-56 |
| Feb 5 | at Sacred Heart (13-19) | W92-87 | Feb 7 | at Rider (3-25) | W73-47 |