Troy at Loy Marymount Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Loy Marymount by 4.86
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Loy Marymount
Troy 
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
RANKINGS
Loy Marymount
Troy
| 180 | Overall | 125 |
| 144 | Power | 166 |
| 203 | Offensive | 172 |
| 110 | Defensive | 176 |
| 129 | SoS (Current) | 171 |
| 129 | SoS (Future) | 171 |
Loy Marymount#18066%
Troy#12534%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Loy Marymount 66%, Troy 34% at Loy Marymount.
Loy Marymount's win probability against Troy is trending down — from 49% to 46% over the last 6 weeks.
Loy Marymount's win probability against Troy is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Loy Marymount's win probability against Troy has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Loy Marymount favored
Troy favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Troy | Neutral | At Loy Marymount |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 1 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 5 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 12 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 15 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 20 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
RECORDS
Loy Marymount
Troy
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
14-17 (45.2%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
9-8 (52.9%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-13 (27.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
9-4 (69.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Loy Marymount
Troy
| #125 Troy | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #267 Pepperdine | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 34 pts vs #338 North Alabama | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 35 pts vs #16 Gonzaga | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
OTHER STATISTICS
Loy Marymount
Troy
| 72.2 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 72.6 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 74.1 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 71.6 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 71.1 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 75.9 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 494-480 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 165.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Loy Marymount
Troy
| Mar 5 | San Diego (10-21) | L62-66 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Feb 28 | vs Seattle (19-14) | L66-71 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 25 | vs Washington St (11-20) | W67-66 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 21 | at San Diego (10-21) | W77-65 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 14 | at Pepperdine (7-23) | L89-90 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 11 | at Pacific (16-15) | L59-65 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego (10-21) | W83-63 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 4 | at San Francisco (16-16) | W84-75 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Jan 31 | vs Santa Clara (25-9) | L73-104 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Jan 28 | vs Oregon St (17-16) | L69-72 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |
