Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Lamar 58%, Incarnate Word 42% at Lamar.
Lamar's win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 47% to 44% over the last 6 updates.
Lamar's win probability against Incarnate Word has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Lamar's win probability against Incarnate Word has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.