Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Incarnate Word 56%, Lamar 44% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Lamar has held at 42% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Lamar has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Lamar is trending up — from 53% to 56% over the last 6 updates.