Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Idaho 63%, Weber St 37% at Idaho.
Idaho's win probability against Weber St has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Idaho's win probability against Weber St has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Idaho's win probability against Weber St has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.