Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Boise St 59%, Fresno St 41% at Fresno St.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 68% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 73% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Boise St's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 79% to 71% over the last 6 updates.