Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: E Washington 65%, Idaho St 35% at E Washington.
E Washington's win probability against Idaho St is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
E Washington's win probability against Idaho St has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Washington's win probability against Idaho St has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.