Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Toledo 58%, Detroit 42% at Detroit.
Toledo's win probability against Detroit is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Toledo's win probability against Detroit has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Toledo's win probability against Detroit has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.