UTRGV at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 8.78
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UTRGV
Dayton 
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UTRGV
Dayton
| 176 | Overall | 59 |
| 143 | Power | 83 |
| 169 | Offensive | 142 |
| 136 | Defensive | 38 |
| 250 | SoS (Current) | 101 |
| 250 | SoS (Full Season) | 101 |
Dayton#5975%
UTRGV#17625%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dayton 75%, UTRGV 25% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against UTRGV is trending down — from 66% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against UTRGV is trending down — from 73% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against UTRGV is trending down — from 79% to 75% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton favored
UTRGV favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UTRGV | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 66% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 66% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 80% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 67% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 79% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UTRGV
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-11 (56%) |
|
15-7 (68.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UTRGV
Dayton
| #68 McNeese St | Best Win | #35 St Louis |
| #318 Northwestern LA | Worst Loss | #236 La Salle |
| 23 pts vs #279 Southern Utah | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 20 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #35 St Louis |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UTRGV
Dayton
| 73.7 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 67.3 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 64.6 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 77.8 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 74.8 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 454-499 | Opponent Record | 692-519 |
| 216.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.8 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UTRGV
Dayton
| Mar 10 | McNeese St (26-6) | L80-84 | Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 |
| Mar 9 | Nicholls St (13-19) | W86-68 | Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 |
| Mar 2 | vs Northwestern LA (8-22) | W74-62 | Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 |
| Feb 28 | vs East Texas A&M (9-21) | W63-55 | Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 |
| Feb 23 | at McNeese St (26-6) | L68-75 | Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 |
| Feb 21 | at SE Louisiana (8-22) | W96-75 | Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 |
| Feb 16 | vs Lamar (10-19) | W70-65 | Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 |
| Feb 14 | vs SF Austin (26-6) | L57-66 | Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 |
| Feb 9 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W92-72 | Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 |
| Feb 7 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W95-76 | Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 |