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College Basketball Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
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Simulator
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
DA
Dayton
Home · A-10 · 25-12
Tap to change
VS
IL
Illinois St
Away · Missouri Valley · 22-13
Tap to change
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Variance
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Select Team
IL
Illinois St
Redbirds
Missouri Valley
65
36
% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
DA
Dayton
Flyers
A-10
71
64
% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 5.77
TOTAL POINTS
136
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Illinois St
Dayton
65
Illinois St
Simulated Score
71
Dayton
89
B+
Overall
93
A-
89
B+
Power
91
A-
81
B-
39.808
60
99
Offensive
84
B
41.31
60
99
Illinois St
60
99
Dayton
60
99
94
A-
-27.74
60
99
Defensive
95
A
-26.472
60
99
Illinois St
60
99
Dayton
60
99
86
B
SoS (Current)
89
B+
86
B
SoS (Future)
89
B+
RANKINGS
Illinois St
Dayton
94
Overall
57
97
Power
80
169
Offensive
140
52
Defensive
35
123
SoS (Current)
93
123
SoS (Future)
93
RECORDS
Illinois St
Dayton
1-0
(100%)
Head to Head
0-1
(0%)
22-13
(62.9%)
Overall
25-12
(67.6%)
13-2
(86.7%)
Home
14-4
(77.8%)
7-7
(50%)
Away
8-5
(61.5%)
0-1
(0%)
Versus Top 25
0-1
(0%)
13-9
(59.1%)
Versus > .500 Teams
14-11
(56%)
9-4
(69.2%)
Versus < .500 Teams
11-1
(91.7%)
6-4
(60%)
Last 10 Games
7-3
(70%)
SUPERLATIVES
Illinois St
Dayton
#57 Dayton
Best Win
#35 St Louis
#296 Evansville
Worst Loss
#236 La Salle
52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car
Largest MOV
40 pts vs #334 Canisius
27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago
Largest MOD
31 pts vs #35 St Louis
OTHER STATISTICS
Illinois St
Dayton
74.1
Points per Game
74.1
69.1
Points Against
69.3
78.5
Home PPG
76.1
61.1
Home PA
64.8
71.6
Away PPG
72.1
74
Away PA
72.8
581-546
Opponent Record
692-519
159.9
Avg Opponent Rank
130.8
W 6
Longest Streak
W 6
L 1
Current Streak
L 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Illinois St
Dayton
Apr 2
Auburn (22-16)
L 66-88
Mar 25
vs
Illinois St (22-13)
L 55-61
Mar 25
at
Dayton (25-12)
W 61-55
Mar 21
at
UNC Wilmington (25-7)
W 80-61
Mar 22
at
Wake Forest (18-17)
W 78-75
Mar 18
at
Bradley (20-13)
W 80-66
Mar 18
vs
Kent (22-10)
W 79-58
Mar 15
VCU (28-8)
L 62-70
Mar 6
Northern Iowa (22-13)
L 52-74
Mar 14
St Louis (28-6)
W 70-69
Mar 1
vs
Belmont (25-6)
W 81-74
Mar 13
St Bonaventure (16-17)
W 68-63
Feb 25
at
Northern Iowa (22-13)
W 71-69
Mar 6
vs
VCU (28-8)
L 62-68
Feb 21
at
Bradley (20-13)
L 60-74
Mar 3
at
Richmond (14-17)
W 65-60
Feb 18
vs
Murray St (20-13)
W 78-61
Feb 27
at
G Washington (18-16)
W 68-66
Feb 15
at
IL Chicago (17-16)
L 56-83
Feb 24
vs
St Louis (28-6)
W 77-62
✕
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