Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Cal Poly 52%, Montana 48% at Cal Poly.
Cal Poly's win probability against Montana has held at 37% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Cal Poly's win probability against Montana has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Cal Poly's win probability against Montana has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.