Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Montana St
Boise St
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Boise St
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Boise St
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Montana St
Boise St
| 199 | Overall | 53 |
| 145 | Power | 61 |
| 183 | Offensive | 70 |
| 127 | Defensive | 71 |
| 225 | SoS (Current) | 55 |
| 225 | SoS (Future) | 55 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Boise St 88%, Montana St 12% at Boise St.
Boise St's win probability against Montana St has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boise St's win probability against Montana St has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boise St's win probability against Montana St has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Montana St | Neutral | At Boise St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 2 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 7 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 10 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 11 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 12 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 17 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 20 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 75% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 75% | 83% | 88% |
Montana St
Boise St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
19-11 (63.3%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Home |
12-3 (80%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Away |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Montana St
Boise St
| #154 St Thomas MN | Best Win | #30 St Mary's CA |
| #324 Oral Roberts | Worst Loss | #221 San Jose St |
| 21 pts vs #307 CS Sacramento | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #321 Air Force |
| 15 pts vs #289 Idaho St | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #21 Utah St |
Montana St
Boise St
| 75.7 | Points per Game | 77.4 |
| 73.5 | Points Against | 73.2 |
| 79.3 | Home PPG | 78.3 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 70.1 |
| 73.4 | Away PPG | 78.9 |
| 75.1 | Away PA | 76.5 |
| 416-471 | Opponent Record | 557-435 |
| 208.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 102.3 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Montana St
Boise St
| Mar 8 | Idaho (18-15) | L74-78 | Mar 11 | San Jose St (8-24) | L74-84 |
| Mar 2 | at Northern Arizona (7-22) | W76-65 | Mar 7 | at Colorado St (20-13) | W78-67 |
| Feb 28 | vs CS Sacramento (7-21) | W82-61 | Mar 3 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | W86-77 |
| Feb 26 | vs Portland St (17-11) | W84-69 | Feb 28 | at Fresno St (12-19) | W69-53 |
| Feb 21 | at Idaho St (10-20) | L76-91 | Feb 24 | vs Wyoming (17-15) | W72-62 |
| Feb 19 | at Weber St (14-16) | L79-82 | Feb 21 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | W84-69 |
| Feb 14 | at Montana (15-15) | W82-71 | Feb 18 | at #21 Utah St (28-7) | L56-75 |
| Feb 7 | vs E Washington (13-19) | L71-72 | Feb 13 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L83-86 |
| Feb 5 | vs Idaho (18-15) | W73-66 | Feb 7 | at New Mexico (25-12) | W91-90 |
| Jan 31 | at Portland St (17-11) | L54-63 | Feb 3 | vs Nevada (24-13) | W91-87 |
vs
College Basketball