Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Air Force
UNLV
|
65
D
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
UNLV
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
UNLV
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Air Force
UNLV
| 321 | Overall | 90 |
| 323 | Power | 100 |
| 342 | Offensive | 62 |
| 229 | Defensive | 207 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 77 |
| 85 | SoS (Future) | 77 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UNLV 91%, Air Force 9% at Air Force.
UNLV's win probability against Air Force has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UNLV's win probability against Air Force has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UNLV's win probability against Air Force has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Air Force | Neutral | At UNLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 9 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 10 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 11 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 12 | 83% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 14 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 16 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 17 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 19 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
Air Force
UNLV
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
3-29 (9.4%) |
Overall |
17-17 (50%) |
|
3-15 (16.7%) |
Home |
9-5 (64.3%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-24 (4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-14 (41.7%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Air Force
UNLV
| #263 SIUE | Best Win | #21 Utah St |
| #258 South Dakota | Worst Loss | #213 TN Martin |
| 14 pts vs #263 SIUE | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #303 Chattanooga |
| 42 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #14 Alabama |
Air Force
UNLV
| 61.5 | Points per Game | 78.6 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 79.3 |
| 65.3 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 80.5 | Home PA | 78.6 |
| 57.2 | Away PPG | 78.6 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 79.4 |
| 599-442 | Opponent Record | 619-498 |
| 124.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 114.3 |
| L 25 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 25 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Air Force
UNLV
| Mar 11 | Nevada (24-13) | L45-80 | Mar 22 | at Tulsa (28-8) | L66-77 |
| Mar 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-74 | Mar 17 | at UC Irvine (21-12) | W75-72 |
| Mar 3 | vs Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-86 | Mar 12 | #21 Utah St (28-7) | L60-80 |
| Feb 28 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L62-66 | Mar 11 | Wyoming (17-15) | W73-70 |
| Feb 24 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | L80-86 | Mar 6 | at San Diego St (22-11) | L86-89 |
| Feb 21 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L66-91 | Mar 3 | vs #21 Utah St (28-7) | W92-65 |
| Feb 17 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L61-98 | Feb 28 | vs Nevada (24-13) | W85-83 |
| Feb 14 | at Fresno St (12-19) | L63-93 | Feb 25 | at Grand Canyon (20-12) | L67-80 |
| Feb 10 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L74-91 | Feb 21 | at Air Force (3-29) | W91-66 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | L54-88 | Feb 18 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L86-91 |
vs
College Basketball