Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Air Force
SIUE
|
65
D
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
62
D-
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
SIUE
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
SIUE
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
60
D-
|
Air Force
SIUE
| 321 | Overall | 263 |
| 323 | Power | 273 |
| 342 | Offensive | 350 |
| 229 | Defensive | 109 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 362 |
| 85 | SoS (Future) | 362 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: SIUE 57%, Air Force 43% at Air Force.
SIUE's win probability against Air Force has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SIUE's win probability against Air Force has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SIUE's win probability against Air Force has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Air Force | Neutral | At SIUE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 8 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 10 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 13 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 56% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 16 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 56% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
Air Force
SIUE
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-29 (9.4%) |
Overall |
16-13 (55.2%) |
|
3-15 (16.7%) |
Home |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
8-7 (53.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-24 (4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-6 (45.5%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-7 (61.1%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Air Force
SIUE
| #263 SIUE | Best Win | #159 Tennessee St |
| #258 South Dakota | Worst Loss | #322 Ark Little Rock |
| 14 pts vs #263 SIUE | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #316 E Illinois |
| 42 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #159 Tennessee St |
Air Force
SIUE
| 61.5 | Points per Game | 67.7 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 65.9 |
| 65.3 | Home PPG | 68.8 |
| 80.5 | Home PA | 64 |
| 57.2 | Away PPG | 65.6 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 66.5 |
| 599-442 | Opponent Record | 334-531 |
| 124.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 275.4 |
| L 25 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 25 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Air Force
SIUE
| Mar 11 | Nevada (24-13) | L45-80 | Mar 4 | E Illinois (10-20) | L71-76 |
| Mar 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-74 | Feb 28 | vs E Illinois (10-20) | W77-50 |
| Mar 3 | vs Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-86 | Feb 26 | vs W Illinois (2-26) | W67-47 |
| Feb 28 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L62-66 | Feb 21 | at Tennessee St (20-10) | L53-80 |
| Feb 24 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | L80-86 | Feb 19 | at Tennessee Tech (10-18) | L52-62 |
| Feb 21 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L66-91 | Feb 14 | vs TN Martin (19-11) | L76-81 |
| Feb 17 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L61-98 | Feb 12 | vs SE Missouri St (17-13) | W74-56 |
| Feb 14 | at Fresno St (12-19) | L63-93 | Feb 7 | at Ark Little Rock (10-20) | W71-61 |
| Feb 10 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L74-91 | Feb 3 | at Lindenwood (15-15) | W78-72 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | L54-88 | Jan 31 | at Southern Indiana (5-23) | W58-46 |
vs
College Basketball