Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Air Force
Pacific
|
65
D
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Pacific
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Pacific
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
Air Force
Pacific
| 321 | Overall | 132 |
| 323 | Power | 109 |
| 342 | Offensive | 218 |
| 229 | Defensive | 55 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 120 |
| 85 | SoS (Future) | 120 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Pacific 89%, Air Force 11% at Air Force.
Pacific's win probability against Air Force has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pacific's win probability against Air Force has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pacific's win probability against Air Force has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Air Force | Neutral | At Pacific |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 1 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 5 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 83% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 8 | 81% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 10 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 12 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 87% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 14 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 15 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 16 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 17 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 19 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 20 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 22 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 23 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 24 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
Air Force
Pacific
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-29 (9.4%) |
Overall |
16-15 (51.6%) |
|
3-15 (16.7%) |
Home |
9-3 (75%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-24 (4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Air Force
Pacific
| #263 SIUE | Best Win | #113 Seattle |
| #258 South Dakota | Worst Loss | #241 San Diego |
| 14 pts vs #263 SIUE | Largest MOV | 33 pts vs #267 Pepperdine |
| 42 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #26 BYU |
Air Force
Pacific
| 61.5 | Points per Game | 71.4 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 69.8 |
| 65.3 | Home PPG | 70 |
| 80.5 | Home PA | 64.4 |
| 57.2 | Away PPG | 72.6 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 76.5 |
| 599-442 | Opponent Record | 492-503 |
| 124.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 158.2 |
| L 25 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 25 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Air Force
Pacific
| Mar 11 | Nevada (24-13) | L45-80 | Mar 8 | Santa Clara (25-9) | L68-76 |
| Mar 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-74 | Mar 7 | Seattle (19-14) | W61-58 |
| Mar 3 | vs Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-86 | Feb 28 | vs San Francisco (16-16) | L61-72 |
| Feb 28 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L62-66 | Feb 21 | at #16 Gonzaga (31-4) | L62-71 |
| Feb 24 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | L80-86 | Feb 18 | at Washington St (11-20) | L70-87 |
| Feb 21 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L66-91 | Feb 14 | vs St Mary's CA (26-6) | L61-72 |
| Feb 17 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L61-98 | Feb 11 | vs Loy Marymount (14-17) | W65-59 |
| Feb 14 | at Fresno St (12-19) | L63-93 | Feb 7 | at Pepperdine (7-23) | W92-59 |
| Feb 10 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L74-91 | Feb 4 | vs Santa Clara (25-9) | L56-71 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | L54-88 | Jan 31 | at San Francisco (16-16) | L82-87 |
vs
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