Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Worcester Tech
Amherst
|
95
A
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
94
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
85
B
6099
|
Offensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Worcester Tech
6099
Amherst
6099
|
||
|
95
A
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Worcester Tech
6099
Amherst
6099
|
||
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Worcester Tech
Amherst
| 39 #408 overall |
Overall | 38 #407 overall |
| 51 #675 overall |
Power | 21 #605 overall |
| 142 #780 overall |
Offensive | 214 #866 overall |
| 39 #569 overall |
Defensive | 4 #347 overall |
| 121 #754 overall |
SoS (Current) | 66 #678 overall |
| 121 #754 overall |
SoS (Future) | 66 #678 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Amherst 64%, Worcester Tech 36% at a neutral site.
Amherst's win probability against Worcester Tech has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Worcester Tech has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Worcester Tech has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Worcester Tech | Neutral | At Amherst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 2 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 47% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 13 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 64% | 72% |
Worcester Tech
Amherst
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
21-6 (77.8%) |
Overall |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
11-3 (78.6%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Away |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
11-1 (91.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Worcester Tech
Amherst
| #336 Babson | Best Win | #221 Tufts |
| #720 Clark MA | Worst Loss | #797 Springfield |
| 46 pts vs #797 Springfield | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #992 Elms |
| 22 pts vs #642 Wheaton MA | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #93 Mary Washington |
Worcester Tech
Amherst
| 75 | Points per Game | 70.1 |
| 67 | Points Against | 58.8 |
| 78.2 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 67.8 | Home PA | 53.1 |
| 73.8 | Away PPG | 69 |
| 66.4 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 383-351 | Opponent Record | 413-310 |
| 691.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 628.8 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Worcester Tech
Amherst
| Mar 6 | Amherst (19-8) | L46-63 | Mar 7 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L64-81 |
| Feb 27 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | L60-82 | Mar 6 | Worcester Tech (21-6) | W63-46 |
| Feb 21 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | W77-72 | Feb 21 | vs Bates (18-9) | L59-70 |
| Feb 18 | at Emerson (9-17) | W83-75 | Feb 14 | at Williams (13-11) | L56-70 |
| Feb 14 | at MIT (6-20) | W70-65 | Feb 13 | at Middlebury (8-16) | W79-64 |
| Feb 11 | vs Coast Guard (8-17) | W90-66 | Feb 7 | vs CT College (16-9) | W73-54 |
| Feb 7 | vs Salve Regina (19-8) | W70-58 | Feb 6 | vs Tufts (24-6) | W65-62 |
| Feb 4 | at Springfield (10-17) | W66-54 | Jan 31 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W81-44 |
| Jan 28 | vs Clark MA (12-14) | L76-86 | Jan 30 | vs Colby (15-9) | W65-64 |
| Jan 24 | vs Babson (22-7) | W78-72 | Jan 24 | vs Hamilton (6-18) | W65-37 |
vs
Division III College Basketball