Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Gettysburg 54%, Wilkes 46% at a neutral site.
Gettysburg's win probability against Wilkes has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Gettysburg's win probability against Wilkes has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Gettysburg's win probability against Wilkes has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.