Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Wilkes 55%, Gettysburg 45% at Wilkes.
Wilkes' win probability against Gettysburg has held at 36% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Wilkes' win probability against Gettysburg has held at 46% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Wilkes' win probability against Gettysburg has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.