Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Stevenson 54%, Widener 46% at Widener.
Stevenson's win probability against Widener has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Stevenson's win probability against Widener has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Stevenson's win probability against Widener has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.