Amherst at W Connecticut Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Amherst by 0.27
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
W Connecticut
Amherst 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
94
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
Offensive |
78
C+
|
|
91
A-
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
W Connecticut
Amherst
| 61 #575 overall |
Overall | 38 #497 overall |
| 50 #698 overall |
Power | 23 #651 overall |
| 83 #714 overall |
Offensive | 216 #875 overall |
| 86 #710 overall |
Defensive | 4 #439 overall |
| 127 #782 overall |
SoS (Current) | 108 #750 overall |
| 127 #782 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 108 #750 overall |
Amherst#3851%W Connecticut#6149%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Amherst 51%, W Connecticut 49% at W Connecticut.
Amherst's win probability against W Connecticut is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Amherst's win probability against W Connecticut has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against W Connecticut is trending down — from 71% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Amherst favored
W Connecticut favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At W Connecticut | Neutral | At Amherst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 51% | 60% | 68% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
W Connecticut
Amherst
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
21-7 (75%) |
Overall |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
13-3 (81.3%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Away |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
W Connecticut
Amherst
| #548 Keene St | Best Win | #221 Tufts |
| #806 Emerson | Worst Loss | #797 Springfield |
| 38 pts vs #983 Castleton | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #992 Elms |
| 5 pts vs #654 E Connecticut | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #93 Mary Washington |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
W Connecticut
Amherst
| 80.5 | Points per Game | 70.1 |
| 70.8 | Points Against | 58.8 |
| 79.5 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 67.9 | Home PA | 53.1 |
| 83.1 | Away PPG | 69 |
| 74.8 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 376-379 | Opponent Record | 413-310 |
| 751.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 628.8 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
W Connecticut
Amherst
| Mar 6 | Catholic (20-8) | L69-71 | Mar 7 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L64-81 |
| Mar 1 | vs Keene St (20-12) | W84-68 | Mar 6 | Worcester Tech (21-6) | W63-46 |
| Feb 27 | vs E Connecticut (17-10) | W60-59 | Feb 21 | vs Bates (18-9) | L59-70 |
| Feb 21 | vs MA Dartmouth (13-12) | W81-71 | Feb 14 | at Williams (13-11) | L56-70 |
| Feb 18 | at RI College (11-15) | W83-70 | Feb 13 | at Middlebury (8-16) | W79-64 |
| Feb 14 | at Keene St (20-12) | L80-84 | Feb 7 | vs CT College (16-9) | W73-54 |
| Feb 9 | at Castleton (6-19) | W85-63 | Feb 6 | vs Tufts (24-6) | W65-62 |
| Feb 4 | vs MA Boston (16-11) | W80-73 | Jan 31 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W81-44 |
| Jan 31 | at Plymouth St (7-18) | W78-66 | Jan 30 | vs Colby (15-9) | W65-64 |
| Jan 28 | at E Connecticut (17-10) | W83-77 | Jan 24 | vs Hamilton (6-18) | W65-37 |