Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Springfield 58%, Utica 42% at a neutral site.
Springfield's win probability against Utica has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Springfield's win probability against Utica has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Springfield's win probability against Utica has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.