Swarthmore at Ursinus Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Ursinus by 6.8
TOTAL POINTS
155
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Swarthmore
Ursinus 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Swarthmore
Ursinus
| 145 #739 overall |
Overall | 106 #665 overall |
| 155 #815 overall |
Power | 88 #745 overall |
| 199 #853 overall |
Offensive | 37 #633 overall |
| 116 #754 overall |
Defensive | 219 #876 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Current) | 202 #863 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 202 #869 overall |
Ursinus#10668%Swarthmore#14532%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Ursinus 68%, Swarthmore 32% at Ursinus.
Ursinus' win probability against Swarthmore has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ursinus' win probability against Swarthmore has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ursinus' win probability against Swarthmore has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Ursinus favored
Swarthmore favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Swarthmore | Neutral | At Ursinus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 49% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 55% | 63% | 70% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 55% | 63% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 55% | 63% | 70% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 52% | 60% | 68% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Swarthmore
Ursinus
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
13-13 (50%) |
Overall |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Away |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Swarthmore
Ursinus
| #616 Albright | Best Win | #417 Frank & Marsh |
| #921 Haverford | Worst Loss | #941 Goucher |
| 25 pts vs #784 Neumann | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #1062 Hunter |
| 21 pts vs #417 Frank & Marsh | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #571 Elizabethtown |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Swarthmore
Ursinus
| 70.2 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 71.2 | Points Against | 73 |
| 76.1 | Home PPG | 84.8 |
| 70.8 | Home PA | 71.4 |
| 65.1 | Away PPG | 79.3 |
| 71.4 | Away PA | 76.7 |
| 414-291 | Opponent Record | 336-360 |
| 672.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 750.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Swarthmore
Ursinus
| Feb 24 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L59-80 | Feb 27 | at Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L71-83 |
| Feb 21 | at Haverford (9-16) | L68-74 | Feb 24 | vs McDaniel (14-11) | W81-62 |
| Feb 18 | vs Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L62-73 | Feb 21 | vs Washington MD (10-17) | W95-70 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ursinus (18-9) | L72-81 | Feb 18 | vs Muhlenberg (12-13) | W84-59 |
| Feb 11 | vs Washington MD (10-17) | W87-69 | Feb 14 | at Swarthmore (13-13) | W81-72 |
| Feb 7 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L71-86 | Feb 11 | at Haverford (9-16) | W86-82 |
| Feb 4 | vs Haverford (9-16) | W63-53 | Feb 7 | vs Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L78-84 |
| Jan 31 | at Muhlenberg (12-13) | W61-59 | Feb 4 | vs Frank & Marsh (22-6) | W72-69 |
| Jan 28 | at Ursinus (18-9) | L73-82 | Jan 31 | at Dickinson (6-20) | L70-72 |
| Jan 24 | vs Gettysburg (18-10) | L61-67 | Jan 28 | vs Swarthmore (13-13) | W82-73 |