Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Middlebury 67%, U New England 33% at U New England.
Middlebury's win probability against U New England has swung between 63% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Middlebury's win probability against U New England has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Middlebury's win probability against U New England has held at 80% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.