Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
|
99
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Trinity CT
6099
Mary Washington
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Trinity CT
6099
Mary Washington
6099
|
||
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
| 3 #131 overall |
Overall | 1 #93 overall |
| 2 #416 overall |
Power | 4 #477 overall |
| 41 #592 overall |
Offensive | 29 #552 overall |
| 2 #277 overall |
Defensive | 8 #421 overall |
| 25 #591 overall |
SoS (Current) | 11 #515 overall |
| 25 #591 overall |
SoS (Future) | 11 #515 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Trinity CT 61%, Mary Washington 39% at a neutral site.
Trinity CT's win probability against Mary Washington is trending down — from 58% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Trinity CT's win probability against Mary Washington is trending down — from 67% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Trinity CT's win probability against Mary Washington is trending down — from 75% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Mary Washington | Neutral | At Trinity CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 14 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 15 | 64% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
30-3 (90.9%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
17-0 (100%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
10-2 (83.3%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
26-3 (89.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
| #221 Tufts | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #292 Wesleyan CT | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 62 pts vs #864 Lehman | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 6 pts vs #221 Tufts | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
| 82.6 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 60.1 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 83.6 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 61.4 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 82.5 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 57.8 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 601-311 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 560 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 17 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
Trinity CT
Mary Washington
| Mar 21 | Mary Washington (31-3) | L61-64 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Mar 19 | Tufts (24-6) | W69-66 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Mar 14 | vs Hood (26-5) | W88-71 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Mar 13 | vs Hood (26-5) | W88-71 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Mar 7 | vs Babson (22-7) | W71-61 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Mar 6 | vs Keuka (14-14) | W74-63 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Mar 1 | at Wesleyan CT (23-8) | W80-55 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Feb 28 | Tufts (24-6) | W80-70 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Feb 21 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W64-63 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Feb 14 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W82-54 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |
vs
Division III College Basketball