Mary Washington at Swarthmore Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 12.9
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Swarthmore
Mary Washington 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Swarthmore
Mary Washington
| 145 #739 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 155 #815 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 199 #853 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 116 #754 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #741 overall |
Mary Washington#183%Swarthmore#14517%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 83%, Swarthmore 17% at Swarthmore.
Mary Washington's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 88% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 92% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 95% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington favored
Swarthmore favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Swarthmore | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Swarthmore
Mary Washington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-13 (50%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Swarthmore
Mary Washington
| #616 Albright | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #921 Haverford | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 25 pts vs #784 Neumann | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 21 pts vs #417 Frank & Marsh | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Swarthmore
Mary Washington
| 70.2 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 71.2 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 76.1 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 70.8 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 65.1 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 71.4 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 414-291 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 672.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Swarthmore
Mary Washington
| Feb 24 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L59-80 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Feb 21 | at Haverford (9-16) | L68-74 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 18 | vs Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L62-73 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ursinus (18-9) | L72-81 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 11 | vs Washington MD (10-17) | W87-69 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 7 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L71-86 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Feb 4 | vs Haverford (9-16) | W63-53 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Jan 31 | at Muhlenberg (12-13) | W61-59 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Jan 28 | at Ursinus (18-9) | L73-82 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Jan 24 | vs Gettysburg (18-10) | L61-67 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |