Amherst at Swarthmore Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Amherst by 6.79
TOTAL POINTS
133
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Swarthmore
Amherst 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
78
C+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Swarthmore
Amherst
| 145 #739 overall |
Overall | 38 #497 overall |
| 155 #815 overall |
Power | 23 #651 overall |
| 199 #853 overall |
Offensive | 216 #875 overall |
| 116 #754 overall |
Defensive | 4 #439 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Current) | 108 #750 overall |
| 112 #758 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 108 #750 overall |
Amherst#3870%Swarthmore#14530%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Amherst 70%, Swarthmore 30% at Swarthmore.
Amherst's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 75% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
Amherst's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 82% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Amherst's win probability against Swarthmore is trending down — from 87% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Amherst favored
Swarthmore favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Swarthmore | Neutral | At Amherst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 76% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 76% | 82% | 87% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 70% | 77% | 83% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Swarthmore
Amherst
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
13-13 (50%) |
Overall |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Away |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Swarthmore
Amherst
| #616 Albright | Best Win | #221 Tufts |
| #921 Haverford | Worst Loss | #797 Springfield |
| 25 pts vs #784 Neumann | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #992 Elms |
| 21 pts vs #417 Frank & Marsh | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #93 Mary Washington |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Swarthmore
Amherst
| 70.2 | Points per Game | 70.1 |
| 71.2 | Points Against | 58.8 |
| 76.1 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 70.8 | Home PA | 53.1 |
| 65.1 | Away PPG | 69 |
| 71.4 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 414-291 | Opponent Record | 413-310 |
| 672.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 628.8 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Swarthmore
Amherst
| Feb 24 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L59-80 | Mar 7 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L64-81 |
| Feb 21 | at Haverford (9-16) | L68-74 | Mar 6 | Worcester Tech (21-6) | W63-46 |
| Feb 18 | vs Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L62-73 | Feb 21 | vs Bates (18-9) | L59-70 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ursinus (18-9) | L72-81 | Feb 14 | at Williams (13-11) | L56-70 |
| Feb 11 | vs Washington MD (10-17) | W87-69 | Feb 13 | at Middlebury (8-16) | W79-64 |
| Feb 7 | at Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L71-86 | Feb 7 | vs CT College (16-9) | W73-54 |
| Feb 4 | vs Haverford (9-16) | W63-53 | Feb 6 | vs Tufts (24-6) | W65-62 |
| Jan 31 | at Muhlenberg (12-13) | W61-59 | Jan 31 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W81-44 |
| Jan 28 | at Ursinus (18-9) | L73-82 | Jan 30 | vs Colby (15-9) | W65-64 |
| Jan 24 | vs Gettysburg (18-10) | L61-67 | Jan 24 | vs Hamilton (6-18) | W65-37 |