Alvernia at St Mary's MD Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Alvernia by 8.56
TOTAL POINTS
151
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
St Mary's MD
Alvernia 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
91
A-
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
77
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
St Mary's MD
Alvernia
| 322 #981 overall |
Overall | 153 #754 overall |
| 327 #989 overall |
Power | 146 #806 overall |
| 355 #1016 overall |
Offensive | 86 #717 overall |
| 248 #909 overall |
Defensive | 250 #911 overall |
| 306 #968 overall |
SoS (Current) | 227 #889 overall |
| 306 #968 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 227 #889 overall |
Alvernia#15374%St Mary's MD#32226%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Alvernia 74%, St Mary's MD 26% at St Mary's MD.
Alvernia's win probability against St Mary's MD is trending down — from 81% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Alvernia's win probability against St Mary's MD is trending down — from 86% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
Alvernia's win probability against St Mary's MD is trending down — from 90% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
Alvernia favored
St Mary's MD favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At St Mary's MD | Neutral | At Alvernia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
St Mary's MD
Alvernia
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-16 (38.5%) |
Overall |
14-11 (56%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Home |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-10 (23.1%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
St Mary's MD
Alvernia
| #665 Averett | Best Win | #484 York PA |
| #1061 Penn Col Tech | Worst Loss | #881 Stevenson |
| 17 pts vs #1052 Rosemont | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #1036 PSU-Berks |
| 57 pts vs #139 G Washington | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
St Mary's MD
Alvernia
| 67.8 | Points per Game | 82.5 |
| 75.2 | Points Against | 80.3 |
| 69.4 | Home PPG | 79.8 |
| 68.2 | Home PA | 79.6 |
| 67.9 | Away PPG | 85.5 |
| 81.2 | Away PA | 81 |
| 292-377 | Opponent Record | 351-315 |
| 842.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 731.5 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
St Mary's MD
Alvernia
| Feb 18 | vs Keystone (7-18) | L71-80 | Feb 25 | at Hood (26-5) | L93-109 |
| Feb 14 | at PSU-Brandywine (16-9) | L68-74 | Feb 21 | vs Messiah (4-21) | W86-75 |
| Feb 10 | vs PSU-Berks (6-17) | W68-64 | Feb 17 | at Eastern Univ (9-16) | W80-57 |
| Feb 7 | at Valley Forge (5-13) | W80-68 | Feb 14 | at Widener (8-18) | W78-75 |
| Feb 4 | at Notre Dame MD (16-11) | L75-76 | Feb 11 | vs Hood (26-5) | L80-81 |
| Feb 2 | vs PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L67-78 | Feb 7 | vs Albright (16-10) | L75-85 |
| Jan 31 | vs Keystone (7-18) | W67-54 | Feb 4 | at York PA (20-7) | W80-77 |
| Jan 23 | at Penn Col Tech (3-19) | L57-77 | Jan 31 | at Stevenson (10-14) | L72-88 |
| Jan 21 | vs Rosemont (4-18) | W59-42 | Jan 28 | vs Eastern Univ (9-16) | W89-64 |
| Jan 17 | at Lancaster Bib (20-8) | L70-98 | Jan 24 | at Messiah (4-21) | W88-70 |