Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Joseph's ME 98%, N England Col 2% at St Joseph's ME.
St Joseph's ME's win probability against N England Col is trending down — from 98% to 95% over the last 6 updates.
St Joseph's ME's win probability against N England Col has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Joseph's ME's win probability against N England Col has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.