Amherst at Springfield Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Amherst by 12.75
TOTAL POINTS
125
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Springfield
Amherst 
|
81
B-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Springfield
Amherst
| 190 #797 overall |
Overall | 38 #407 overall |
| 201 #861 overall |
Power | 21 #605 overall |
| 268 #928 overall |
Offensive | 214 #866 overall |
| 114 #731 overall |
Defensive | 4 #347 overall |
| 95 #718 overall |
SoS (Current) | 66 #678 overall |
| 95 #718 overall |
SoS (Future) | 66 #678 overall |
Amherst#3884%Springfield#19016%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Amherst 84%, Springfield 16% at Springfield.
Amherst's win probability against Springfield has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Springfield has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Springfield has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst favored
Springfield favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Springfield | Neutral | At Amherst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 13 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 17 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 18 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 19 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 20 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 22 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 23 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 24 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
RECORDS
Springfield
Amherst
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
2-15 (11.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Springfield
Amherst
| #407 Amherst | Best Win | #221 Tufts |
| #961 Washington MD | Worst Loss | #797 Springfield |
| 29 pts vs #1030 Buffalo St | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #992 Elms |
| 46 pts vs #408 Worcester Tech | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #93 Mary Washington |
OTHER STATISTICS
Springfield
Amherst
| 67.3 | Points per Game | 70.1 |
| 71.3 | Points Against | 58.8 |
| 68.1 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 68.1 | Home PA | 53.1 |
| 65.8 | Away PPG | 69 |
| 75.7 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 400-318 | Opponent Record | 413-310 |
| 662.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 628.8 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Springfield
Amherst
| Feb 25 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | L52-60 | Mar 7 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L64-81 |
| Feb 24 | at Wheaton MA (18-11) | L52-60 | Mar 6 | Worcester Tech (21-6) | W63-46 |
| Feb 21 | vs Emerson (9-17) | W72-58 | Feb 21 | vs Bates (18-9) | L59-70 |
| Feb 18 | vs Clark MA (12-14) | W76-72 | Feb 14 | at Williams (13-11) | L56-70 |
| Feb 11 | at Salve Regina (19-8) | L57-67 | Feb 13 | at Middlebury (8-16) | W79-64 |
| Feb 7 | at Babson (22-7) | L56-71 | Feb 7 | vs CT College (16-9) | W73-54 |
| Feb 4 | vs Worcester Tech (21-6) | L54-66 | Feb 6 | vs Tufts (24-6) | W65-62 |
| Jan 31 | at Coast Guard (8-17) | W93-81 | Jan 31 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W81-44 |
| Jan 28 | at MIT (6-20) | W79-69 | Jan 30 | vs Colby (15-9) | W65-64 |
| Jan 24 | vs Wheaton MA (18-11) | L65-70 | Jan 24 | vs Hamilton (6-18) | W65-37 |
