Covenant at Sewanee Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Sewanee by 8.62
TOTAL POINTS
184
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Covenant
Sewanee 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
72
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
75
C
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
60
D-
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Covenant
Sewanee
| 363 #1024 overall |
Overall | 278 #935 overall |
| 326 #988 overall |
Power | 254 #915 overall |
| 28 #611 overall |
Offensive | 118 #760 overall |
| 404 #1066 overall |
Defensive | 330 #992 overall |
| 304 #966 overall |
SoS (Current) | 204 #866 overall |
| 304 #963 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 204 #867 overall |
Sewanee#27872%Covenant#36328%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Sewanee 72%, Covenant 28% at Sewanee.
Sewanee's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 62% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Sewanee's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 69% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Sewanee's win probability against Covenant is trending down — from 76% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Sewanee favored
Covenant favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Covenant | Neutral | At Sewanee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 62% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 65% | 72% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Covenant
Sewanee
|
2-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-2 (0%) |
|
6-18 (25%) |
Overall |
9-16 (36%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Home |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Away |
3-8 (27.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-10 (23.1%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-6 (50%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Covenant
Sewanee
| #884 Huntingdon | Best Win | #775 Centre |
| #1045 J&W NC | Worst Loss | #1024 Covenant |
| 27 pts vs #1051 Warren Wilson | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #1008 Oglethorpe |
| 36 pts vs #841 Belhaven MS | Largest MOD | 48 pts vs #488 Rhodes |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Covenant
Sewanee
| 89.1 | Points per Game | 81.4 |
| 96.4 | Points Against | 85.5 |
| 92.1 | Home PPG | 84.3 |
| 91.2 | Home PA | 82 |
| 87.5 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 103.4 | Away PA | 92.4 |
| 262-336 | Opponent Record | 321-335 |
| 891.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 791.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Covenant
Sewanee
| Feb 24 | at Belhaven MS (15-14) | L77-113 | Feb 26 | Centre (14-12) | L79-87 |
| Feb 21 | at Belhaven MS (15-14) | L88-100 | Feb 21 | at Centre (14-12) | W91-89 |
| Feb 14 | vs LaGrange (12-13) | L88-91 | Feb 15 | at Millsaps (15-12) | L77-83 |
| Feb 11 | at Piedmont (9-15) | L73-97 | Feb 13 | at Rhodes (22-7) | L49-97 |
| Feb 3 | at Maryville TN (21-5) | L73-98 | Feb 8 | vs Berry (9-16) | L89-93 |
| Jan 31 | vs Huntingdon (9-12) | W96-90 | Feb 6 | vs Oglethorpe (5-21) | W95-68 |
| Jan 30 | vs Asbury (6-19) | L88-91 | Feb 1 | vs SW Univ TX (13-13) | L67-71 |
| Jan 23 | vs Warren Wilson (4-15) | W96-69 | Jan 30 | vs Trinity TX (22-8) | L85-98 |
| Jan 20 | vs Maryville TN (21-5) | L84-96 | Jan 25 | at SW Univ TX (13-13) | L75-78 |
| Jan 17 | vs Piedmont (9-15) | W94-80 | Jan 23 | at Trinity TX (22-8) | L84-103 |