Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: SW Univ TX 57%, Berry 43% at SW Univ TX.
SW Univ TX's win probability against Berry has held at 38% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SW Univ TX's win probability against Berry has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SW Univ TX's win probability against Berry is trending up — from 54% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.