Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 1 (Nov 6), 2026-27: Rochester Tech 60%, Lycoming 40% at Rochester Tech.
Rochester Tech's win probability against Lycoming has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Rochester Tech's win probability against Lycoming has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Rochester Tech's win probability against Lycoming has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.