Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Otterbein
Mt Union
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
85
B
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Otterbein
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Otterbein
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Otterbein
Mt Union
| 20 #313 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 27 #616 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 146 #784 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 14 #459 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 58 #665 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 58 #665 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Otterbein 53%, Mt Union 47% at Otterbein.
Otterbein's win probability against Mt Union has held at 34% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Mt Union has held at 43% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Mt Union has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Mt Union | Neutral | At Otterbein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 29% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 2 | 14% | 20% | 27% |
| Wk 3 | 14% | 20% | 27% |
| Wk 4 | 13% | 18% | 25% |
| Wk 5 | 26% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 6 | 26% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 13 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 14 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 15 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 33% | 42% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 19 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 20 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
Otterbein
Mt Union
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
23-6 (79.3%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
13-3 (81.3%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
13-6 (68.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
10-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Otterbein
Mt Union
| #368 WI Platteville | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #567 Heidelberg | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 37 pts vs #896 Allegheny | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 15 pts vs #148 Chicago | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Otterbein
Mt Union
| 74.7 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 66.1 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 75.6 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 64.7 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 73 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 68.4 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 422-355 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 619.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| W 11 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Otterbein
Mt Union
| Mar 7 | at Chicago (24-5) | L66-81 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Mar 6 | WI Platteville (18-10) | W57-52 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 28 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L75-82 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 26 | vs Ohio Northern (18-9) | W53-51 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 21 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W80-60 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Feb 18 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L53-54 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Feb 14 | at Capital (9-17) | W66-64 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Feb 11 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W87-77 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Feb 7 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-83 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Feb 4 | at Marietta (9-16) | W87-81 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball