Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Allegheny
Otterbein
|
75
C
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Allegheny
6099
Otterbein
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Allegheny
6099
Otterbein
6099
|
||
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
94
A
|
Allegheny
Otterbein
| 251 #896 overall |
Overall | 20 #313 overall |
| 263 #925 overall |
Power | 27 #616 overall |
| 324 #986 overall |
Offensive | 146 #784 overall |
| 160 #794 overall |
Defensive | 14 #459 overall |
| 216 #875 overall |
SoS (Current) | 58 #665 overall |
| 216 #875 overall |
SoS (Future) | 58 #665 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Otterbein 96%, Allegheny 4% at Otterbein.
Otterbein's win probability against Allegheny has held at 91% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Allegheny has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Otterbein's win probability against Allegheny has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Allegheny | Neutral | At Otterbein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 13 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 14 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 15 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 17 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 19 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
Allegheny
Otterbein
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
23-6 (79.3%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Home |
13-3 (81.3%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
7-3 (70%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Allegheny
Otterbein
| #597 Carnegie Mellon | Best Win | #368 WI Platteville |
| #1000 Hiram | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 25 pts vs #1042 Carlow | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #896 Allegheny |
| 41 pts vs #549 Canisius | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #148 Chicago |
Allegheny
Otterbein
| 66.6 | Points per Game | 74.7 |
| 72.4 | Points Against | 66.1 |
| 64.5 | Home PPG | 75.6 |
| 67.8 | Home PA | 64.7 |
| 69.2 | Away PPG | 73 |
| 77.5 | Away PA | 68.4 |
| 346-364 | Opponent Record | 422-355 |
| 766.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 619.6 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Allegheny
Otterbein
| Feb 24 | vs Franciscan OH (19-9) | L62-66 | Mar 7 | at Chicago (24-5) | L66-81 |
| Feb 21 | at Hiram (6-20) | L69-88 | Mar 6 | WI Platteville (18-10) | W57-52 |
| Feb 18 | vs Thiel (3-19) | W68-60 | Feb 28 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L75-82 |
| Feb 14 | vs Franciscan OH (19-9) | L66-81 | Feb 26 | vs Ohio Northern (18-9) | W53-51 |
| Feb 11 | at Grove City (11-14) | L65-77 | Feb 21 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W80-60 |
| Feb 7 | vs Chatham (17-8) | W69-66 | Feb 18 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L53-54 |
| Feb 4 | at Westminster PA (17-9) | W75-68 | Feb 14 | at Capital (9-17) | W66-64 |
| Jan 31 | at Bethany WV (9-17) | L73-85 | Feb 11 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W87-77 |
| Jan 28 | vs Geneva (10-17) | W79-70 | Feb 7 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-83 |
| Jan 24 | at Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L72-85 | Feb 4 | at Marietta (9-16) | W87-81 |
vs
Division III College Basketball