Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Ohio Northern
Amherst
|
95
A
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Ohio Northern
6099
Amherst
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Ohio Northern
6099
Amherst
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Ohio Northern
Amherst
| 43 #429 overall |
Overall | 38 #407 overall |
| 34 #630 overall |
Power | 21 #605 overall |
| 188 #836 overall |
Offensive | 214 #866 overall |
| 12 #434 overall |
Defensive | 4 #347 overall |
| 53 #655 overall |
SoS (Current) | 66 #678 overall |
| 53 #655 overall |
SoS (Future) | 66 #678 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Amherst 56%, Ohio Northern 44% at a neutral site.
Amherst's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 46% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Amherst's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 65% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Ohio Northern | Neutral | At Amherst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 1 | 31% | 40% | 49% |
| Wk 2 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 3 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 13 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 14 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 18 | 45% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 46% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 46% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
Ohio Northern
Amherst
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
18-9 (66.7%) |
Overall |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
10-2 (83.3%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-3 (40%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-6 (68.4%) |
|
11-1 (91.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Ohio Northern
Amherst
| #296 Mt Union | Best Win | #221 Tufts |
| #753 Albion | Worst Loss | #797 Springfield |
| 41 pts vs #998 Manchester | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #992 Elms |
| 16 pts vs #609 Muskingum | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #93 Mary Washington |
Ohio Northern
Amherst
| 74 | Points per Game | 70.1 |
| 67.1 | Points Against | 58.8 |
| 75.3 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 67.5 | Home PA | 53.1 |
| 73.2 | Away PPG | 69 |
| 66.7 | Away PA | 66.4 |
| 384-339 | Opponent Record | 413-310 |
| 616.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 628.8 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Ohio Northern
Amherst
| Feb 26 | at Otterbein (23-6) | L51-53 | Mar 7 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L64-81 |
| Feb 24 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W88-69 | Mar 6 | Worcester Tech (21-6) | W63-46 |
| Feb 21 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W104-72 | Feb 21 | vs Bates (18-9) | L59-70 |
| Feb 18 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | W54-53 | Feb 14 | at Williams (13-11) | L56-70 |
| Feb 14 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L64-80 | Feb 13 | at Middlebury (8-16) | W79-64 |
| Feb 11 | vs Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W77-67 | Feb 7 | vs CT College (16-9) | W73-54 |
| Feb 4 | at Wilmington OH (11-15) | W78-70 | Feb 6 | vs Tufts (24-6) | W65-62 |
| Jan 31 | at Capital (9-17) | W73-69 | Jan 31 | vs Bowdoin (15-10) | W81-44 |
| Jan 28 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W71-43 | Jan 30 | vs Colby (15-9) | W65-64 |
| Jan 24 | vs Mt Union (23-4) | W64-50 | Jan 24 | vs Hamilton (6-18) | W65-37 |
vs
Division III College Basketball