Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ohio Northern 54%, Amherst 46% at Ohio Northern.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Amherst has held at 35% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Amherst has held at 44% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio Northern's win probability against Amherst has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.