Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
|
75
C
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
86
B
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
N Central MN
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
| 247 #891 overall |
Overall | 78 #562 overall |
| 257 #919 overall |
Power | 103 #747 overall |
| 134 #765 overall |
Offensive | 177 #824 overall |
| 324 #986 overall |
Defensive | 77 #664 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Current) | 209 #866 overall |
| 269 #932 overall |
SoS (Future) | 209 #866 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Concordia Mhd 73%, N Central MN 27% at N Central MN.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against N Central MN is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against N Central MN has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against N Central MN has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At N Central MN | Neutral | At Concordia Mhd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 60% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 13 | 73% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 14 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 21 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 22 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 23 | 73% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 24 | 73% | 81% | 86% |
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
19-7 (73.1%) |
|
7-5 (58.3%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
| #856 Bethany Luth | Best Win | #591 St John's MN |
| #968 Crown MN | Worst Loss | #733 Carleton MN |
| 25 pts vs #968 Crown MN | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #940 Macalester |
| 46 pts vs #176 St Thomas MN | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #593 Guilford |
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
| 78.5 | Points per Game | 76.7 |
| 82.8 | Points Against | 70.4 |
| 85.3 | Home PPG | 79.5 |
| 83.2 | Home PA | 67.5 |
| 75.8 | Away PPG | 74.1 |
| 82.5 | Away PA | 73.4 |
| 355-431 | Opponent Record | 334-351 |
| 808.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 764.1 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
N Central MN
Concordia Mhd
| Mar 14 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W76-51 | Feb 26 | at St John's MN (16-12) | L68-75 |
| Mar 4 | Crown MN (10-16) | W76-70 | Feb 24 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W74-52 |
| Feb 25 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | L78-92 | Feb 21 | at St Scholastica (7-20) | W87-74 |
| Feb 21 | vs Bethany Luth (15-12) | W102-96 | Feb 18 | vs St Olaf (15-11) | W74-59 |
| Feb 19 | at Martin Luther (10-14) | W105-87 | Feb 14 | vs Macalester (7-18) | W95-64 |
| Feb 14 | at Northwestern MN (6-19) | W92-75 | Feb 7 | vs Hamline (15-10) | W76-64 |
| Feb 11 | vs MN Morris (10-14) | W89-78 | Feb 4 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W77-73 |
| Feb 7 | vs Crown MN (10-16) | W86-83 | Jan 31 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | L60-70 |
| Jan 31 | at WI Superior (6-19) | W77-62 | Jan 28 | vs St John's MN (16-12) | W71-69 |
| Jan 28 | vs Martin Luther (10-14) | W86-83 | Jan 24 | at Bethel MN (12-14) | W79-74 |
vs
Division III College Basketball