Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Elmhurst 54%, N Central IL 46% at N Central IL.
Elmhurst's win probability against N Central IL is trending down — from 57% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Elmhurst's win probability against N Central IL has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Elmhurst's win probability against N Central IL is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.