Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
63
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Muhlenberg
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
96
A
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Muhlenberg
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
| 195 #804 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 211 #872 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 381 #1043 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 32 #532 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 182 #832 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 182 #832 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 92%, Muhlenberg 8% at a neutral site.
Mt Union's win probability against Muhlenberg has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Muhlenberg has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Muhlenberg has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Muhlenberg | Neutral | At Mt Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 14 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 17 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 18 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 19 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 20 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 21 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 22 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 23 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 24 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
12-13 (48%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
3-13 (18.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
| #500 Wilkes | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #784 Neumann | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 24 pts vs #967 Waynesburg | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 36 pts vs #296 Mt Union | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
| 62.7 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 64.3 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 65.9 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 62.5 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 63 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 340-324 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 742.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Muhlenberg
Mt Union
| Feb 21 | vs McDaniel (14-11) | L49-52 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Feb 18 | at Ursinus (18-9) | L59-84 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 14 | at Washington MD (10-17) | W71-56 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 11 | vs Frank & Marsh (22-6) | L55-74 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 7 | at Gettysburg (18-10) | L56-64 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Feb 4 | vs Dickinson (6-20) | W56-53 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Jan 31 | vs Swarthmore (13-13) | L59-61 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Jan 28 | vs Haverford (9-16) | W63-60 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Jan 24 | at Johns Hopkins (20-8) | L53-80 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Jan 21 | vs Ursinus (18-9) | L72-87 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball