Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
|
95
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Ohio Northern
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Ohio Northern
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
| 43 #429 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 34 #630 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 188 #836 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 12 #434 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 53 #655 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 53 #655 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 69%, Ohio Northern 31% at Mt Union.
Mt Union's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Ohio Northern has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Ohio Northern | Neutral | At Mt Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 54% | 64% |
| Wk 1 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 4 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 7 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 15 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
18-9 (66.7%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
10-2 (83.3%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
11-1 (91.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
| #296 Mt Union | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #753 Albion | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 41 pts vs #998 Manchester | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 16 pts vs #609 Muskingum | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
| 74 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 67.1 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 75.3 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 67.5 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 73.2 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 66.7 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 384-339 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 616.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Ohio Northern
Mt Union
| Feb 26 | at Otterbein (23-6) | L51-53 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Feb 24 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W88-69 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 21 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W104-72 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 18 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | W54-53 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 14 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L64-80 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Feb 11 | vs Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W77-67 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Feb 4 | at Wilmington OH (11-15) | W78-70 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Jan 31 | at Capital (9-17) | W73-69 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Jan 28 | at Heidelberg (16-13) | W71-43 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Jan 24 | vs Mt Union (23-4) | W64-50 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball