Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Marietta
Mt Union
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Marietta
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
70
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Marietta
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Marietta
Mt Union
| 163 #736 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 168 #826 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 45 #603 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 304 #965 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 33 #618 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 33 #618 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 92%, Marietta 8% at Mt Union.
Mt Union's win probability against Marietta has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Marietta has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Marietta has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Marietta | Neutral | At Mt Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 3 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 13 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 14 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 19 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 20 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 21 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 22 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 23 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 24 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
Marietta
Mt Union
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
9-16 (36%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
6-12 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Marietta
Mt Union
| #567 Heidelberg | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #779 Capital | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 20 pts vs #567 Heidelberg | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 32 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Marietta
Mt Union
| 79 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 84.9 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 84.2 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 88.7 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 76.7 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 82.6 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 405-276 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 575.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Marietta
Mt Union
| Feb 21 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L72-104 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Feb 14 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L86-107 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 11 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L74-86 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 7 | at Wilmington OH (11-15) | L82-85 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 4 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | L81-87 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Jan 31 | vs Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W99-83 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Jan 28 | at Mt Union (23-4) | L71-92 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Jan 24 | vs Capital (9-17) | L71-94 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Jan 21 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W91-86 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Jan 17 | vs Ohio Northern (18-9) | L82-90 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball