Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Heidelberg
Mt Union
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
90
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Heidelberg
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Heidelberg
Mt Union
| 80 #567 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 116 #766 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 94 #706 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 181 #820 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 44 #642 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 87%, Heidelberg 13% at Mt Union.
Mt Union's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Heidelberg has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Heidelberg | Neutral | At Mt Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 41% | 50% |
| Wk 1 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 2 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 15 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 17 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 24 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
Heidelberg
Mt Union
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
16-13 (55.2%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
4-7 (36.4%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Heidelberg
Mt Union
| #296 Mt Union | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #800 Ohio Wesleyan | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 21 pts vs #736 Marietta | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 28 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Heidelberg
Mt Union
| 77.1 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 78.6 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 76.6 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 82.4 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 77.4 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 76.3 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 429-347 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 601.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Heidelberg
Mt Union
| Mar 6 | at IL Wesleyan (26-5) | L51-62 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Feb 28 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W82-75 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 26 | at Mt Union (23-4) | W84-82 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 24 | at Muskingum (15-11) | W84-67 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 21 | vs Capital (9-17) | L76-82 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Feb 18 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W89-81 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Feb 14 | at Marietta (9-16) | W107-86 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Feb 11 | at Mt Union (23-4) | L67-85 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Feb 7 | vs Otterbein (23-6) | L83-85 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Jan 31 | at Muskingum (15-11) | L86-95 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball