Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 65%, Calvin 35% at Mt Union.
Mt Union's win probability against Calvin has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Calvin is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Mt Union's win probability against Calvin is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.