Wilson at Mary Washington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 27.98
TOTAL POINTS
160
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Wilson
Mary Washington 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Wilson
Mary Washington
| 326 #986 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 292 #954 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 120 #763 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 381 #1043 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 261 #923 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 261 #923 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #741 overall |
Mary Washington#197%Wilson#3263%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 97%, Wilson 3% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against Wilson has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington's win probability against Wilson has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington's win probability against Wilson has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington favored
Wilson favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Wilson | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Wilson
Mary Washington
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-18 (35.7%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
4-5 (44.4%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
1-10 (9.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
9-8 (52.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Wilson
Mary Washington
| #686 Lancaster Bib | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #1061 Penn Col Tech | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 29 pts vs #1052 Rosemont | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 45 pts vs #686 Lancaster Bib | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Wilson
Mary Washington
| 80.3 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 85.4 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 82.3 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 82.6 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 80 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 85.9 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 319-399 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 819 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Wilson
Mary Washington
| Feb 21 | at Lancaster Bib (20-8) | L72-117 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Feb 18 | vs PSU-Berks (6-17) | W92-80 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs PSU-Abington (6-22) | L90-91 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Feb 10 | at Valley Forge (5-13) | L91-94 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 7 | vs Keystone (7-18) | W81-73 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 4 | vs Lancaster Bib (20-8) | W94-89 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Jan 31 | at PSU-Berks (6-17) | W99-83 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Jan 28 | vs PSU-Brandywine (16-9) | L70-83 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Jan 24 | at Gallaudet (3-17) | W86-75 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Jan 21 | at Notre Dame MD (16-11) | L97-99 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |