S Virginia at Mary Washington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 22.53
TOTAL POINTS
153
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
S Virginia
Mary Washington 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
S Virginia
Mary Washington
| 174 #795 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 217 #878 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 137 #787 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 284 #946 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 171 #831 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 171 #831 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #741 overall |
Mary Washington#195%S Virginia#1745%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 95%, S Virginia 5% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against S Virginia is trending down — from 94% to 89% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against S Virginia is trending down — from 96% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against S Virginia has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington favored
S Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At S Virginia | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
S Virginia
Mary Washington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
1-10 (9.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
14-4 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
S Virginia
Mary Washington
| #631 NC Wesleyan | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #931 Methodist | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 22 pts vs #1051 Warren Wilson | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 59 pts vs #449 SC Upstate | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
S Virginia
Mary Washington
| 77.1 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 79.4 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 78.1 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 73.7 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 75.4 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 81.9 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 378-387 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 733.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
S Virginia
Mary Washington
| Feb 26 | at NC Wesleyan (19-7) | L81-84 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Feb 24 | vs Mary Baldwin (10-16) | W89-73 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 21 | vs Peace (8-17) | W88-75 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Feb 19 | vs Mary Washington (31-3) | L77-91 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 17 | at Mary Baldwin (10-16) | W83-71 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 14 | at NC Wesleyan (19-7) | L72-89 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Feb 11 | at Methodist (11-14) | L87-90 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Feb 7 | vs Pfeiffer (17-11) | L69-71 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Feb 3 | vs Greensboro (10-16) | W88-70 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Jan 28 | at Mary Baldwin (10-16) | W73-62 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |