Notre Dame MD at Mary Washington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 23.21
TOTAL POINTS
161
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington
| 179 #804 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 227 #888 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 53 #670 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 354 #1016 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 168 #828 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 168 #828 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #741 overall |
Mary Washington#195%Notre Dame MD#1795%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 95%, Notre Dame MD 5% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against Notre Dame MD is trending down — from 94% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against Notre Dame MD is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against Notre Dame MD has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington favored
Notre Dame MD favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Notre Dame MD | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 98% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 90% | 93% | 95% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
16-11 (59.3%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
6-1 (85.7%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
12-2 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington
| #446 Gettysburg | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #1038 Keystone | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 28 pts vs #1052 Rosemont | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 50 pts vs #240 UMBC | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington
| 82.6 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 84.9 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 85.6 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 75.9 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 81.5 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 89.5 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 333-381 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 779 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Notre Dame MD
Mary Washington
| Feb 21 | at PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L70-85 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Feb 10 | at Lancaster Bib (20-8) | L93-99 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 7 | vs PSU-Berks (6-17) | W95-69 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Feb 4 | vs St Mary's MD (10-16) | W76-75 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Jan 31 | at PSU-Abington (6-22) | W83-75 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Jan 28 | vs Cairn (19-7) | W86-76 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Jan 24 | at Keystone (7-18) | L86-98 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Jan 21 | vs Wilson (10-18) | W99-97 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Jan 17 | vs PSU-Brandywine (16-9) | W86-74 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Jan 13 | vs PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L65-70 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |