Catholic at Mary Washington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 7.7
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Catholic
Mary Washington 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Catholic
Mary Washington
| 23 #433 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 15 #630 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 77 #705 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 23 #559 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 46 #674 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 46 #674 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #741 overall |
Mary Washington#172%Catholic#2328%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 72%, Catholic 28% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against Catholic has held at 55% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington's win probability against Catholic has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington's win probability against Catholic has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mary Washington favored
Catholic favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Catholic | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 57% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 58% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 75% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Catholic
Mary Washington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-8 (71.4%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
10-2 (83.3%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
13-8 (61.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
7-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Catholic
Mary Washington
| #156 Chris Newport | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #570 Susquehanna | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 44 pts vs #941 Goucher | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 14 pts vs #221 Tufts | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Catholic
Mary Washington
| 78.4 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 67.8 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 80.9 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 65.5 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 76.6 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 71.5 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 454-304 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 572.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Catholic
Mary Washington
| Mar 7 | at Tufts (24-6) | L60-74 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Mar 6 | W Connecticut (21-7) | W71-69 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 26 | vs Wilkes (18-10) | L70-79 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Feb 21 | vs Scranton (19-7) | W87-50 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 18 | vs Elizabethtown (17-9) | W71-68 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Feb 14 | at Drew (19-7) | W61-58 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Feb 11 | at Susquehanna (16-13) | L79-81 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Feb 7 | vs Moravian (15-10) | W97-69 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Feb 4 | vs Juniata (9-15) | W71-56 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Jan 31 | at Wilkes (18-10) | L62-68 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |