Alvernia at Lynchburg Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Lynchburg by 8.34
TOTAL POINTS
162
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Alvernia
Lynchburg 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Alvernia
Lynchburg
| 153 #754 overall |
Overall | 111 #673 overall |
| 146 #806 overall |
Power | 65 #716 overall |
| 86 #717 overall |
Offensive | 42 #645 overall |
| 250 #911 overall |
Defensive | 144 #789 overall |
| 227 #889 overall |
SoS (Current) | 60 #694 overall |
| 227 #889 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 60 #694 overall |
Lynchburg#11173%Alvernia#15327%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Lynchburg 73%, Alvernia 27% at Lynchburg.
Lynchburg's win probability against Alvernia is trending down — from 61% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Lynchburg's win probability against Alvernia is trending down — from 69% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Lynchburg's win probability against Alvernia is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Lynchburg favored
Alvernia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Alvernia | Neutral | At Lynchburg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 76% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 66% | 73% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Alvernia
Lynchburg
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
14-11 (56%) |
Overall |
14-13 (51.9%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Home |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-13 (23.5%) |
|
11-1 (91.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Alvernia
Lynchburg
| #484 York PA | Best Win | #443 Hampden-Sydney |
| #881 Stevenson | Worst Loss | #660 Chatham |
| 41 pts vs #1036 PSU-Berks | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #855 E Mennonite |
| 23 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Alvernia
Lynchburg
| 82.5 | Points per Game | 78.6 |
| 80.3 | Points Against | 74.8 |
| 79.8 | Home PPG | 83.2 |
| 79.6 | Home PA | 75.6 |
| 85.5 | Away PPG | 76.5 |
| 81 | Away PA | 75.2 |
| 351-315 | Opponent Record | 392-330 |
| 731.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 619.4 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alvernia
Lynchburg
| Feb 25 | at Hood (26-5) | L93-109 | Feb 24 | at Hampden-Sydney (17-10) | L70-82 |
| Feb 21 | vs Messiah (4-21) | W86-75 | Feb 21 | vs VA Wesleyan (18-8) | L76-81 |
| Feb 17 | at Eastern Univ (9-16) | W80-57 | Feb 18 | at Roanoke (22-7) | L88-93 |
| Feb 14 | at Widener (8-18) | W78-75 | Feb 14 | vs E Mennonite (8-17) | W72-60 |
| Feb 11 | vs Hood (26-5) | L80-81 | Feb 11 | vs Hampden-Sydney (17-10) | W77-67 |
| Feb 7 | vs Albright (16-10) | L75-85 | Feb 4 | vs Averett (14-12) | W84-73 |
| Feb 4 | at York PA (20-7) | W80-77 | Jan 31 | at Bridgewater VA (7-18) | W91-73 |
| Jan 31 | at Stevenson (10-14) | L72-88 | Jan 29 | vs Guilford (13-13) | L88-92 |
| Jan 28 | vs Eastern Univ (9-16) | W89-64 | Jan 23 | at Washington & Lee (17-10) | W73-59 |
| Jan 24 | at Messiah (4-21) | W88-70 | Jan 21 | vs Roanoke (22-7) | L68-92 |