Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Loras 78%, Luther IA 22% at Luther IA.
Loras' win probability against Luther IA has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Loras' win probability against Luther IA has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Loras' win probability against Luther IA has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.