Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
63
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Luther IA
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
94
A
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Luther IA
6099
Concordia Mhd
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
| 235 #866 overall |
Overall | 78 #562 overall |
| 233 #895 overall |
Power | 103 #747 overall |
| 376 #1038 overall |
Offensive | 177 #824 overall |
| 50 #597 overall |
Defensive | 77 #664 overall |
| 127 #763 overall |
SoS (Current) | 209 #866 overall |
| 127 #763 overall |
SoS (Future) | 209 #866 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Concordia Mhd 69%, Luther IA 31% at Luther IA.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Luther IA has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Luther IA has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Concordia Mhd's win probability against Luther IA has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Luther IA | Neutral | At Concordia Mhd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 2 | 41% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 13 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 14 | 65% | 73% | 81% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 17 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 18 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
7-16 (30.4%) |
Overall |
19-7 (73.1%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
| #728 Buena Vista | Best Win | #591 St John's MN |
| #939 Cornell IA | Worst Loss | #733 Carleton MN |
| 13 pts vs #734 Central IA | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #940 Macalester |
| 24 pts vs #552 Dubuque | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #593 Guilford |
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
| 63.3 | Points per Game | 76.7 |
| 68.7 | Points Against | 70.4 |
| 62.7 | Home PPG | 79.5 |
| 68.9 | Home PA | 67.5 |
| 64.1 | Away PPG | 74.1 |
| 68.5 | Away PA | 73.4 |
| 335-277 | Opponent Record | 334-351 |
| 699 | Avg Opponent Rank | 764.1 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Luther IA
Concordia Mhd
| Feb 21 | at Central IA (12-13) | W74-61 | Feb 26 | at St John's MN (16-12) | L68-75 |
| Feb 18 | at Dubuque (18-10) | L43-66 | Feb 24 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W74-52 |
| Feb 14 | vs Buena Vista (14-13) | W68-62 | Feb 21 | at St Scholastica (7-20) | W87-74 |
| Feb 11 | at Loras (20-9) | L58-63 | Feb 18 | vs St Olaf (15-11) | W74-59 |
| Feb 4 | vs Coe (19-10) | L55-76 | Feb 14 | vs Macalester (7-18) | W95-64 |
| Jan 31 | at Simpson IA (9-17) | W86-79 | Feb 7 | vs Hamline (15-10) | W76-64 |
| Jan 28 | vs Wartburg (14-12) | L66-75 | Feb 4 | vs Carleton MN (15-11) | W77-73 |
| Jan 24 | at NE Wesleyan (18-8) | L57-64 | Jan 31 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | L60-70 |
| Jan 21 | vs Dubuque (18-10) | L47-71 | Jan 28 | vs St John's MN (16-12) | W71-69 |
| Jan 17 | at Buena Vista (14-13) | L63-66 | Jan 24 | at Bethel MN (12-14) | W79-74 |
vs
Division III College Basketball